Numbers · Lesson 3

Build reserves and a downside case

Reserves give you time to solve problems without being forced to sell. Estimate the cost of vacancy, a major repair, an insurance deductible, and ordinary obligations while the property is not producing rent. Keep property reserves separate from your personal emergency funds.

Use a replacement schedule for expensive components. A roof with limited remaining life is not adequately addressed by a small monthly maintenance estimate. Reserve contributions are planning amounts; they are not automatically deductible expenses for tax purposes.

Run a lower-rent case, a longer-vacancy case, and a major-repair case. Include changes in taxes and insurance rather than freezing current bills forever. If a downside month requires money you do not have, reduce leverage, renegotiate price, increase capital, or pass.

Worked example · Hypothetical

A rental produces $250/month in modeled cash flow. One $3,000 repair consumes a full year of that cash flow. The property can still be worthwhile, but the owner needs liquidity beyond the monthly surplus.

Decision checklist

  1. Estimate specific repair, vacancy, and deductible exposures.
  2. Keep property liquidity separate from household emergencies.
  3. Test whether a large one-time expense can be funded immediately.

Check your understanding

Why does positive average cash flow not eliminate reserve needs?

Show the answer

Repairs and vacancies can be concentrated in a single month rather than spread evenly through the year.

Put it into practice

Your next action

Write a reserve target based on specific risks. Test whether you can fund three months without collected rent.

Original teaching framework and hypothetical example. Source directory and editorial approach →